Sonar Markets
PUBLIC / READ-ONLY / AGGREGATE

Accuracy is a record, not a promise.

These counters come from delivered alerts, recorded outcomes, and venue settlement evidence. They do not represent returns, execution, or a claim that future observations will repeat.

RECORD UPDATED2026-09-16 20:12:08.760Z
Alerts fired3delivered, distinct alerts
Outcomes3recorded alert outcomes
Settled pairs4completed without conflict
Conflicts0venue settlement conflicts
CASE_001 / JULY 2026 CPI

One release, recorded end to end.

SETTLED · VENUES AGREED
01

Verified

The July headline CPI contracts were reviewed as the same one-decimal BLS proposition before observation.

02

Observed

The release path moved from 69.5¢ to one-sided books and then 99.5¢. Sonar recorded 115 ticks, zero collection failures, and zero false alerts through the gap.

03

Settled

Both venue outcomes were admitted independently. The pair closed only after the settlement watcher reconciled them.

SETTLEMENT RECEIPT

This receipt records terminal outcomes admitted independently from both venues, then reconciled by Sonar's settlement watcher.

Registry pair
Internal pair ID.
Kalshi terminal outcome
Venue-admitted Kalshi result.
Polymarket terminal outcome
Venue-admitted Polymarket result.
Reconciliation state
Watcher result after both outcomes arrive.
Conflict latch
Whether the venue evidence disagreed.

Every value renders from database evidence; anything absent would display as unverified.

Registry pair#24060
Kalshi terminal outcomeYES
Polymarket terminal outcomeYES
Reconciliation stateSAME_SIDE_RESOLVED
Conflict latchfalse
METHOD / BOUNDARIES

Alerts count only after at least one delivery succeeds. Outcomes are linked to those delivered alerts. Settled pairs require a completion timestamp and no conflict latch. The public query exposes aggregate counts and one preselected CPI receipt only—never user identities, watchlists, notes, payloads, or private decisions.